Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 9.220939 10.583762 12.036958 13.697255 15.536922 17.508176 19.775322
2025-02-16 6.728235 8.491393 10.511820 12.979858 15.893804 19.204860 23.230685
2025-02-23 4.988782 6.900702 9.246351 12.293125 16.099660 20.650391 26.449502
2025-03-02 3.839547 5.799988 8.365012 11.889327 16.519868 22.305517 29.978550
2025-03-09 3.090910 5.072897 7.825143 11.802905 17.265525 24.354742 34.078640
2025-03-16 2.476531 4.412919 7.262356 11.583229 17.765775 26.071439 37.813034
2025-03-23 2.192815 4.190340 7.275812 12.142022 19.337924 29.272065 43.649543
2025-03-30 1.862108 3.828528 7.021604 12.261150 20.266290 31.616037 48.419231
2025-04-06 1.485487 3.313742 6.449588 11.818658 20.308685 32.683437 51.435455
2025-04-13 1.168961 2.839384 5.869911 11.284360 20.140639 33.399813 53.944798
2025-04-20 1.054716 2.730495 5.899011 11.736729 21.517618 36.439121 59.920782
2025-04-27 1.017010 2.770318 6.195166 12.657605 23.686797 40.755157 67.931360
2025-05-04 0.930863 2.696648 6.282701 13.242282 25.377961 44.471655 75.283478
2025-05-11 0.794959 2.482506 6.073580 13.278220 26.159991 46.818002 80.670978
2025-05-18 0.650663 2.212548 5.713750 12.997689 26.377567 48.275113 84.747458
2025-05-25 0.538665 1.993569 5.424685 12.814843 26.739516 49.964662 89.233920
2025-06-01 0.461222 1.845956 5.265396 12.861641 27.498241 52.316862 94.828776
2025-06-08 0.382913 1.671981 5.019123 12.705293 27.869733 54.031899 99.454954
2025-06-15 0.360243 1.664101 5.159479 13.354390 29.761315 58.369576 108.451598
2025-06-22 0.314618 1.567493 5.071015 13.510504 30.730268 61.168394 115.019010
2025-06-29 0.248756 1.375936 4.713305 13.047365 30.480477 61.848077 118.105713
2025-07-06 0.191174 1.188089 4.328602 12.477174 29.972565 62.037653 120.360006
2025-07-13 0.177160 1.171715 4.408094 12.972530 31.606441 66.077432 129.219749